World Economic Outlook By IMF
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released its World Economic Outlook on January 25, 2022.
Highlights:
- The analysis predicts that global economic growth will be half a percentage point lower than previously predicted.
- Growth will slow from 5.9 percent in 2021 to 4.4 percent in 2022. It will fall even lower in 2023, to 3.8 percent.
- According to the IMF, the reduction in global growth forecasts is primarily due to the IMF`s assessment of China`s and the United States` economic prospects.
- The removal of Joe Biden`s Build Back Better strategy from the baseline, early withdrawal of monetary support, and supply constraints resulted in a 1.2 percentage point downward revision for growth in 2022 in the United States.
- Disruptions caused by China`s zero-tolerance Covid policy, as well as persistent financial difficulties among property developers, resulted in a 0.8 percentage point downward revision.
India
- According to the IMF, India will grow at a rate of 9% in 2021-2022. The IMF estimates India`s growth prospects for the year ending October 2021 to be 9.5 percent.
- According to the IMF, India`s GDP will grow at a rate of 9% in 2022-23. Growth will be 8.5 percent in 2022-23 and 7.1 percent in 2023-24, according to the October forecast.
- The prospects for India in 2023 are predicted based on expected increases in credit growth. Furthermore, the improved performance of the financial sector is increasing investment and consumption.
- The World Bank recently predicted that global growth would slow, with the rate remaining at 4.1 percent in 2022.
Omicron Variant Impact:
- Governments have reimposed mobility restrictions in response to the introduction of the Omicron Covid-19 strain, according to the IMF.
- Rising energy prices and supply disruptions in the United States and other developing countries and emerging markets have resulted in much higher and more widespread inflation than predicted.
- Economic forecasts have been hampered by China`s ongoing real estate contraction, as well as a delayed rebound in private spending.
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Economy Current Affairs January 4th Week 2022